AR30453: Engineering risk and uncertainty
[Page last updated: 15 October 2020]
![]() | 2020/1 |
![]() | Department of Architecture & Civil Engineering |
![]() | 6 [equivalent to 12 CATS credits] |
![]() | 120 |
![]() | Honours (FHEQ level 6) |
![]() |
|
![]() | CW 30%, EX 70% |
![]() |
|
![]() |
|
![]() | Before taking this module you must take AR20386 |
Description: | Aims: To provide students with knowledge and understanding of how to use probability and statistical methods to analyse civil engineering problems involving geotechnical, hydraulic and structural analysis. Learning Outcomes: * Ability to understand and apply basic probability theory for problems involving variability and uncertainty * Ability to use basic statistical methods for exploratory data analysis, model identification, parameter estimation and decision-making * Ability to apply both analytical and numerical methods for describing the reliability of infrastructure with examples from geotechnical, structural and hydraulic engineering. * Gain knowledge of how best to communicate of risk and uncertainty to both lay people and engineering experts. Skills: Intellectual skills: * Understanding probability and statistical concepts and their relevance for civil engineering design * Understanding of decision-making under uncertainty Practical skills: * Use of analytical and numerical methods for analysing civil engineering problems * Statistical programming and data analysis in R language Transferable skills * Quantitative data analysis using statistical techniques * Communication of risk-related topics Content: * Random variables and probability distributions * Parameter estimation (method of moments, maximum-likelihood) * Sample theory and hypothesis testing * Uncertainty analysis: First order analytical method and Monte Carlo methods * Low probability - high impact events (black swans) * Decision-making under uncertainty * Communication of risk |
![]() |
AR30453 is Optional on the following programmes:Department of Architecture & Civil Engineering
|
Notes:
|