Predicting our future climate

Despite the current coronavirus health crisis, climate change remains the greatest threat facing humanity.

We can only stop devastating climate change if we have a clear understanding of what the future holds - and understand the accuracy of our predictions. To do this, we need to further develop and test, mathematical models of climate change.

In this free webinar leading international experts will describe the latest developments in mathematically based climate modelling and examine what lies ahead in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The webinar is aimed at an academic audience.
Registration closes on Thursday 7 May at 12:00 (midday).

Schedule and speakers

9:30 - 10:00 British Summer Time
Introduction by the organisers

10:00 - 12.00 (midday)

• Precursion signals for critical transitions of multi-stable Earth systems
  Niklas Boers, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
  
• Large deviations of temperature in an atmospheric and an Earth system model
  Vera Melinda Galfi, University of Hamburg
  
• Detecting regime transitions in nocturnal and polar near surface temperature inversion
  Nikki Vercauteren, Free University of Berlin
  
• Addressing the uncertainty under reporting gap
  Daniel Williamson, University of Exeter

12:00 (midday) - 13:00
Virtual lunch

13:00 - 14:10
Mini talks by webinar attendees with an emphasis on Empirical Climate Models

14:10 - 14:30
Virtual coffee and discussions

14:30 - 16:00

• Machine Learning approaches for geo-physical flows
  Davide Faranda, French National Centre for Scientific Research
  
• Models of path independence between global warming and cumulative emissions
  Ashwin K Seshadri, Indian Institute of Science
  
• Perturbation growth and Critical transitions
  Sarah Hallerberg, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences
  
• Trends and extremes; a cautionary (PDF) tail
  Cécile Penland, US Physical Sciences Laboratory
  

16:00 and onwards
Virtual coffee and discussions

Organisers

• Peter Ashwin, University of Exeter
  
• Chris Budd, University of Bath
  
• Valerio Lucarini, University of Reading
  

This webinar is part of our event series on 'Pathways to Climate Resilience', May - July 2020.